Need to know how time series analysis could be used for climate and hydrological modelling

hello, I am a beginner in the field of climate change and modeling of water resources.

I am currently working on establishing evdience of climate change within my study area through a time series analysis of

climate data such as temperature, precipitation, wind speed , humidity etc.

My query is, once a time series component such as stochasticity or periodicity is found to dominate the time series, how

could this information be used while proceeding further to hydrological modeling. Should the modeled data when compared

to the observed data also show the same trend? Or should this informaion be incorporated while making future

projections?

 

Thank you

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